Earlier this year I attended a half day meeting entitled The End of Jobs as We Know Them? Technology, Society, and the Future of Work, which was hosted by the Open Society Foundation’s Future of Work Project. While it was exciting to hear from innovative leaders in of Alt-Labor movement (Saket Soni and Sarita Gupta are at the top of the list), I was really there to hear from Carl Frey the author of The Future of Employment: How Susceptible are Jobs to Computerization, an academic paper from Oxford University, speak.
The paper predicts that 47% of U.S. jobs are at risk of being automated in the next 20 years. This figure has taken off in the media, Frey’s paper has been cited countless times by economics reporters and publications (here, here, here, etc). In my own informal monitoring of this type of news Frey’s research is the primary source that reporters reference when writing about automation.
Finally there is video that takes Frey’s paper (and even the new book The Second Machine Age) and makes it easily digestible (and terrifying). If you work for a living I recommend you check it out, and get ready for the Robot Apocalypse.
A choice quote –
“These jobs are over. The usual argument is that the unions will prevent it. But, history is filled with workers who fought technology that would replace them and the workers always lose. “